Forex returnmax

Most trading systems are of the forex returnmax-rich-quick type. They require regular supervision and adaption to market conditions, and still have a limited lifetime. Their expiration is often accompanied by large losses. But what if you’ve nevertheless collected some handsome gains, and now want to park them in a more safe haven?

Put the money under the pillow? The old-fashioned investing method is buying some low-risk stocks and then waiting a long time. Since the mean return and the fluctuation changes all the time, this task requires rebalancing the portfolio in regular intervals. The unfashionable Markowitz Unfortunately, Markowitz got largely out of fashion since then. The problem is the same as with all trading algorithms: You can only calculate the optimal capital allocation in hindsight. Optimized portfolios mysteriously failed in live trading.

The optimized portfolios of the quoted authors indeed blew up. But Markowitz is not to blame. Suppose you have a portfolio of very similar assets, all with almost identical mean return and variance, only one of them is a tiny bit better. The Markowitz algorithm will then tend to assign all capital to that single asset. That’s just logical, as it is the optimal capital allocation. But it’s not the optimal portfolio.

However, a R implementation is not very practical for live trading. For this we have to implement MVO in a real trade platform. Then we can park our money in an optimized portfolio of stocks and ETFs, let the platform rebalance the capital allocation in regular intervals, lean back, wait, and get rich slowly. In chapter 8, he described the MVO algorithm in a clear and easy to follow way. For simple minded programmers like me, he even included a brief introduction to linear algebra! I only modified his original algorithm by adding the mentioned weight constraint.